Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beasain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Beasain have won more games recently than Bermeo.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Beasain taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Beasain Clean Sheet 68%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beasain | Bermeo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 16 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Bermeo
1:1
Aug 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Beasain
1:1
Mar 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Bermeo
1:1
Nov 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Beasain
0:3
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Beasain
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beasain 86 / 100
Bermeo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beasain Bermeo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beasain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bermeo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Beasain scored in 69% of their last 39 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Beasain stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Beasain VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Beasain
(Home) 19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3 Valle Egues
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05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3 Valle Egues
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1 Alaves C
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1 Touring KE
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2 Zaragoza B
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Bermeo
(Away) 18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
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11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
13 Apr
Sodupe
3 : 1 Bermeo
24 Mar
Basconia
4 : 1 Bermeo
09 Mar
Pasaia
1 : 0 Bermeo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 65:21 | 86 |
| 2 | Sestao | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74:36 | 78 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 66:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Balmaseda | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:36 | 63 |
| 6 | Basconia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 64:52 | 60 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 71:48 | 59 |
| 8 | Somorrostro | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 59:43 | 57 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 33:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 38:48 | 48 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Beasain | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 41:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:66 | 39 |
| 17 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:64 | 34 |
| 18 | Ordizia | 38 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 40:72 | 31 |
| 19 | SD San Pedro | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40:69 | 29 |
| 20 | Bermeo | 38 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 24:71 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
