Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beasain vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lazcano A.
11' Event
Arocena A.
24' Event
Yaniz M.

AI Match Summary

Beasain in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Beasain
35%
Draws
35%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mutilvera haven't matched Beasain's recent run of results.
  • Beasain are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mutilvera have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Beasain Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Mutilvera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.24 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Mutilvera
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Beasain
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Beasain
3:0
Sep 17, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Mutilvera
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beasain Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazcano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bengoetxea A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Arocena A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaniz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 51 / 100
Mutilvera 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Beasain scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Mutilvera let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Beasain stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS Mutilvera
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 6

Mutilvera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)