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Beasain vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gil Garcia M.
66'
Pita M.

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Beasain
30%
Draws
23%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Beasain and Naxara on recent form.
  • Beasain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Beasain Clean Sheet 68%
Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Naxara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Beasain
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Naxara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beasain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 95 / 100
Naxara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beasain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Beasain's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Beasain has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Naxara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS Naxara
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
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Naxara

(Away)
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)