Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Upesciems in this Latvian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 4-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bebri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Upesciems have won more games recently than Bebri.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bebri | Upesciems |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 20 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 23 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.34 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2018 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
3:0
Oct 17, 2009 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
4:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bebri 34 / 100
Upesciems 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bebri Upesciems
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Upesciems Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Upesciems's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Upesciems's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Bebri's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bebri VS Upesciems
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Bebri
(Home) 19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1 Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2 JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1 Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1 Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2 Bebri
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04 May
Bebri
3 : 2 JFC Viola
23 Aug
Bebri
1 : 2 Priekuli
21 Oct
Bebri
1 : 1 FK Smiltene
06 Oct
Bebri
0 : 5 BFC Daugavpils
22 Sept
Bebri
0 : 1 Alberts JDFS
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Upesciems
(Away) 22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3 Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4 Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3 FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2 Lubana
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17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
11 Jun
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
3 : 1 Upesciems
11 Jul
Salaspils FK
3 : 0 Upesciems
18 Jun
Caramba
3 : 2 Upesciems
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 2 Upesciems
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2
