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Bebri vs Upesciems

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2018
Sun, Jun 17, 2018
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2018. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Upesciems have shipped 2.35 goals a game lately, while Bebri have conceded 3.34 and scored 1.06. Past meetings favor Bebri slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2018, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.98 - 2.31) back Upesciems to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bebri
15%
Draws
42%
Upesciems
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bebri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bebri Upesciems
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 0
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.8
Goals Conceded 3.34 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2018 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
3:0
Oct 17, 2009 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bebri 34 / 100
Upesciems 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bebri Upesciems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Upesciems Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upesciems has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Upesciems has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bebri scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Bebri VS Upesciems
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Bebri

(Home)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 7

Upesciems

(Away)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina -
TBD -
SK Cesis 1
Albatroz 4
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
Lielupe 2
Nikers 5
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Salacgriva -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Super Nova -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
SK Babite 5
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
Salaspils FK 9
Valka 0
KF Grobina 0
BetLanes 14
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kauguri-PBLC 4
Bauskas / Memele 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
TBD -
Lubana 2
Upesciems 5
FK Karosta 9
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
FK Limbazi -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
Albatroz 1
FK Alberts 1
DSVK Traktors 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Nikers 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United 10
FK Salacgriva 0
Aliance 0
Ghetto / Gvatar 5
Super Nova 2
SK Babite 1
Balvu SC 1
FK Smiltene 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 9
Plavinas 1
Salaspils FK 0
BetLanes 7
RTU 2
Rezekne 0
Kauguri-PBLC 3
Tukums 2000 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri 3
Upesciems 0
FK Karosta 1
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Limbazi 6
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
DSVK Traktors 0
Alberts JDFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 5
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Riga United 1
Ghetto / Gvatar 9
Super Nova 2
FK Smiltene 0
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 0
BetLanes 2
RTU 5
Tukums 2000 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Bebri 0
Preilu BJSS 5
FK Limbazi 1
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
FK Metta 2
Jelgava 1
Grobina 2
BFC Daugavpils 6
Spartaks Jurmala 8
Ghetto / Gvatar 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
BetLanes 1
RTU 0
FK Liepaja 5
Valmiera 3
Preilu BJSS 0
FK Limbazi 0
RFS 15
Quarter-finals
FK Metta 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 3
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 0
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Semi-finals
FK Metta 1
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 1
Ventspils 0