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Becerril vs Arandina

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Antolin A.
90' Event
Antolin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Becerril and Arandina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Becerril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Becerril
30%
Draws
37%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arandina come out ahead of Becerril on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Becerril Clean Sheet 18%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Becerril Arandina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Arandina
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Becerril
1:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Becerril
3:4
Jan 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Arandina
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Arandina
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Becerril Compare

Top Goalscorer Antolin A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Becerril 32 / 100
Arandina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Becerril Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Becerril's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Becerril remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Becerril VS Arandina
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Becerril

(Home)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)