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Becerril vs Bembibre

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Martin D.
49' Event
Martin D.
63' Event
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Becerril and Bembibre finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Becerril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Becerril
35%
Draws
30%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bembibre have managed 1 goals a game lately — Becerril are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Becerril are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Becerril Clean Sheet 20%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Becerril Bembibre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Becerril
4:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bembibre
2:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bembibre
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Becerril
2:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Bembibre
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Becerril Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Becerril 36 / 100
Bembibre 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Becerril Bembibre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bembibre conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Becerril went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Becerril VS Bembibre
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Becerril

(Home)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Bembibre

(Away)
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 2
Bembibre
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)