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Becerril vs CD Cebrerena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Cebrerena in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cebrerena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Becerril
20%
Draws
47%
CD Cebrerena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Becerril average 1.02 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Cebrerena's 0.97.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Becerril Clean Sheet 16%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Becerril CD Cebrerena
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.02 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs CD Cebrerena
0:1
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Becerril
1:1
Apr 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Becerril
3:1
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs CD Cebrerena
1:3
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs CD Cebrerena
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Becerril 31 / 100
CD Cebrerena 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Becerril CD Cebrerena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril scored in 64% of their last 42 games.

CD Cebrerena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Becerril remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Becerril VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Becerril

(Home)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
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CD Cebrerena

(Away)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
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