Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Moises
21' Event
Tomasov M.
31' Event
Samardzic M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-10, with Rijeka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bednja Beletinec
20%
Draws
52%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Bednja Beletinec Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bednja Beletinec Rijeka
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.54 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2024 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka
0:3
Sep 23, 2015 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Rijeka
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bednja Beletinec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasov M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Samardzic M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bednja Beletinec 10 / 100
Rijeka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bednja Beletinec Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Bednja Beletinec scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Rijeka has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Bednja Beletinec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bednja Beletinec

(Home)
27 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
1 : 4
Karlovac
22 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rijeka
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
28 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
2 : 1
Orijent
19 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rudes
Page 1 of 3

Rijeka

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Rijeka -
TBD -
Primorac Biograd 0
Bednja Beletinec 1
NK Zelina -
TBD -
Polet Cestica 1
Opatija 5
Zadar -
TBD -
ZET Zagreb 1
Jadran Porec 4
Nehaj Senj 3
Bijelo Brdo 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Osijek -
TBD -
Slavonija Pozega 2
Duga Resa 3
NK Pomorac -
TBD -
NK Koprivnica 0
HASK 2
Sibenik -
TBD -
Zagora 2
HNK Gorica 3
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 2
Suhopolje 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Hajduk Split -
TBD -
NK Nedelisce 3
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
Jaska Vinogradar -
TBD -
Bistra 1
NK Lekenik 5
Istra 1961 -
TBD -
Sloga Cakovec 0
Croatia Grabrovnica 4
Funtana 2
Vuteks Sloga 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Zapresic -
TBD -
Croatia Dakovo 1
Zmaj Blato 4
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 6
Novi Mikanovci 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Segesta 0
TBD -
Varazdin -
Ostrc Zlatar 1
NK Mosor 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Rijeka 10
Bednja Beletinec 0
NK Zelina 0
Opatija 4
Zadar 3
Jadran Porec 0
Nehaj Senj 0
Lok. Zagreb 8
Osijek 3
Duga Resa 1
NK Pomorac 0
HASK 3
Sibenik 1
HNK Gorica 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Hajduk Split 7
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Jaska Vinogradar 0
NK Lekenik 1
Istra 1961 2
Croatia Grabrovnica 0
Funtana 0
NK Zagreb 3
Zapresic 3
Zmaj Blato 2
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 0
Cibalia 6
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Varazdin 0
Ostrc Zlatar 1
Din. Zagreb 7
1/8-finals
Rijeka 3
Opatija 0
Zadar 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Osijek 2
HASK 0
Sibenik 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 5
NK Lekenik 1
Istra 1961 1
NK Zagreb 2
Zapresic 1
Cibalia 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 1
Lok. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 2
NK Zagreb 1
Zapresic 0
Din. Zagreb 1
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 4
Hajduk Split 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Din. Zagreb 2