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Beijing Beikong W vs Changchun Dazhong W

China China

Super League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beijing Beikong W play Changchun Dazhong W in the Super League Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Beijing Beikong W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Changchun Dazhong W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Beijing Beikong W won 1, Changchun Dazhong W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 19, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Beijing Beikong W and 0.75 for Changchun Dazhong W. This points to a Beijing Beikong W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Beijing Beikong W
22%
Draws
30%
Changchun Dazhong W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Beijing Beikong W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Beijing Beikong W picked up more points recently compared to Changchun Dazhong W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Beijing Beikong W Clean Sheet 27%
Changchun Dazhong W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Beikong W Changchun Dazhong W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Super League Women
Beijing Beikong W vs Changchun Dazhong W
3:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League Women
Changchun Dazhong W vs Beijing Beikong W
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Super League Women
Beijing Beikong W vs Changchun Dazhong W
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Super League Women
Changchun Dazhong W vs Beijing Beikong W
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Super League Women
Beijing Beikong W vs Changchun Dazhong W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Beikong W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Changchun Dazhong W Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyonkuru S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Beikong W 49 / 100
Changchun Dazhong W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Beikong W Changchun Dazhong W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beijing Beikong W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beijing Beikong W attacking → ← attacking Changchun Dazhong W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Beikong W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Changchun Dazhong W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Beijing Beikong W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Dazhong W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 37
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Beijing Beikong W980119:724
2Liaoning W980115:324
3Shanghai RCB W962117:620
4Jiangsu Suning W961214:919
5Wuhan Jiangda W952212:917
6Changchun Dazhong W92346:119
7Zhejiang W93064:119
8Guangdong Meizhou W91537:108
9Shandong Sports Lottery W91447:127
10Shaanxi Changan W91173:94
11Guangxi Pingguo W90457:154
12Sichuan W90458:174