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Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Zheng Zheng
36'
Nkololo B.
36'
Sub
Chen Pu In: Peng Xiao
Out: Chen Pu

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Shandong Taishan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Beijing Guoan
40%
Draws
29%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shandong Taishan come out ahead of Beijing Guoan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan
6:0
Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
6:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Liangming
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Shandong Taishan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 30 / 100
Shandong Taishan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Shandong Taishan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Shandong Taishan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Shandong Taishan
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
10Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
11Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348