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Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beijing Guoan host Jeonbuk in the AFC Champions League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Jeonbuk have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Beijing Guoan have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, Beijing Guoan have won 0 to Jeonbuk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2019, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Beijing Guoan. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Beijing Guoan
35%
Draws
20%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan have won more games recently than Jeonbuk.
  • Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jeonbuk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Jeonbuk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2019 AFC Champions League
Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk
0:1
Mar 6, 2019 AFC Champions League
Jeonbuk vs Beijing Guoan
3:1
May 26, 2015 AFC Champions League
Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk
0:1
May 19, 2015 AFC Champions League
Jeonbuk vs Beijing Guoan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 85 / 100
Jeonbuk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Jeonbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Jeonbuk conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Jeonbuk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beijing Guoan

(Home)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
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Jeonbuk

(Away)
09 Oct
Daejeon
2 : 1
Jeonbuk
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shanghai Port 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Johor DT 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Daejeon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Kyoto 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Newcastle Jets 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Al Ahli SC 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Qadsiah 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Neftchi Fargona 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Pakhtakor 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Al Ittihad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Tractor 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Al Gharafa 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Al Sadd 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)