Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Beira Mar Logo

Beira Mar

1 - 1
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Beira Mar and Agueda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Beira Mar
30%
Draws
8%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Beira Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Beira Mar a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Agueda
Matches Played 37 24
Wins 17 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.32 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Beira Mar vs Agueda
1:1
Oct 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Beira Mar
0:2
Apr 26, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Agueda vs Beira Mar
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Beira Mar vs Agueda
0:0
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Agueda vs Beira Mar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 86 / 100
Agueda 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beira Mar scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Agueda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Beira Mar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Agueda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 8

Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)