Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Castro Daire

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beira Mar
30%
Draws
31%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Castro Daire haven't matched Beira Mar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Beira Mar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Castro Daire
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Castro Daire
1:1
Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs Beira Mar
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Castro Daire
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Castro Daire vs Beira Mar
2:1
Nov 7, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Beira Mar vs Castro Daire
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 42 / 100
Castro Daire 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Castro Daire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beira Mar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Castro Daire has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Beira Mar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS Castro Daire
1.75 Goals Scored 0.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
Page 1 of 7

Castro Daire

(Away)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)