Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Nogueira Madureira C. F.

AI Match Summary

Gondomar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Beira Mar
35%
Draws
32%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Beira Mar have won more games recently than Gondomar.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Gondomar
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Gondomar
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Beira Mar
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Beira Mar
3:2
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Gondomar
0:0
Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Beira Mar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beira Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gondomar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira Madureira C. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 32 / 100
Gondomar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Gondomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beira Mar scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Beira Mar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gondomar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
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Gondomar

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)