Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Garcia D.
81' Event
Tovar C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Beira Mar and Machico finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Beira Mar
35%
Draws
37%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beira Mar come out ahead of Machico on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 22%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Machico
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Machico
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Machico
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Beira Mar
3:1
Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Beira Mar
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Machico
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beira Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 37 / 100
Machico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Beira Mar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Beira Mar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Machico let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS Machico
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)