Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Beira Mar
30%
Draws
23%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Beira Mar have won more games recently than Tomar.
  • Model gives Beira Mar a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primeira Liga 1975/1976 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Tomar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Tomar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 1976 Liga Portugal
Beira Mar vs Tomar
4:1
Dec 7, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Beira Mar
2:0
Jun 10, 1973 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Beira Mar
8:1
Dec 17, 1972 Liga Portugal
Beira Mar vs Tomar
2:0
Feb 20, 1972 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Beira Mar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 85 / 100
Tomar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Beira Mar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Beira Mar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
Page 1 of 6