Sport Picks
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israel
Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem 
Match Events
12'
12'
Carabali B.
16'
16'
Micha D.
36'
36'
Carabali B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Beitar Jerusalem carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Tel Aviv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 14%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
3:0
Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beitar Jerusalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahan O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beitar Jerusalem 11 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beitar Jerusalem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Beitar Jerusalem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Hapoel Tel Aviv conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Beitar Jerusalem VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Beitar Jerusalem
(Home) 19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1 Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1 Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4 Netanya
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1 Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4 Netanya
06 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 2 Austria Vienna
30 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 3 AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(Away) 18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
16 Aug
Shmona
1 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
12 Aug
GKS Katowice
2 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79:38 | 79 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78:40 | 76 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 72:46 | 66 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:47 | 55 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 48:57 | 40 |
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