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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Kiryat Gat Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem host Kiryat Gat in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. Kiryat Gat go into this one as the clear favorite. Kiryat Gat have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have conceded 2.1 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have won 2 to Kiryat Gat's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Kiryat Gat. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
15%
Draws
85%
Kiryat Gat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiryat Gat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kiryat Gat have won more games recently than Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
  • Win probability leans Kiryat Gat's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Kiryat Gat
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Kiryat Gat
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:0
Feb 6, 2020 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Kiryat Gat
1:0
Oct 4, 2019 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:3
Jan 18, 2019 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 16 / 100
Kiryat Gat 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Gat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Kiryat Gat's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS Kiryat Gat
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 2
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 5

Kiryat Gat

(Away)
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)