Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem host Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef South. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi's 0.13 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have won 2 to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 0.63) back Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

20%

Draws

38%

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Alef South provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Matches Played	22	22
Wins	3	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.5	0.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	0
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef South

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef South

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef South

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Jan 7, 2025 Liga Alef South

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 26, 2024 Liga Alef South

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 42 / 100

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 82% of their last 22 games.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

0.5 Goals Scored 0.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15