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Stadium Background

Beitar vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gegers E.
16' Event
Regza A.
50' Event
Sajenko E.

AI Match Summary

AFA Olaine in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beitar
15%
Draws
46%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beitar lately — more wins on the board than AFA Olaine.
  • Model gives Beitar a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Beitar Clean Sheet 15%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar AFA Olaine
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.67 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 1. Liga
Beitar vs AFA Olaine
1:4
May 21, 2023 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Beitar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Compare

Top Goalscorer Regza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegers E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sajenko E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar 84 / 100
AFA Olaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine let in goals in 90% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Beitar scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Beitar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS AFA Olaine
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar

(Home)
12 Nov
Rezekne
2 : 1
Beitar
04 Nov
Beitar
0 : 4
JFK Ventspils
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
22 Oct
Tukums 2000 2
2 : 1
Beitar
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)