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Beitar vs Dinamo Riga

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Sat, Oct 28, 2023
3 - 0
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beitar host Dinamo Riga in the 1. Liga 2023. Beitar go into this one as the clear favorite. Beitar have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.57 conceded recently, against Dinamo Riga's 1 scored and 2.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Beitar have won 2 to Dinamo Riga's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring Beitar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Beitar
15%
Draws
0%
Dinamo Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beitar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beitar lately — more wins on the board than Dinamo Riga.
  • Model gives Beitar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Beitar Clean Sheet 17%
Dinamo Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Dinamo Riga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 1. Liga
Beitar vs Dinamo Riga
3:0
Jul 7, 2023 1. Liga
Dinamo Riga vs Beitar
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar 84 / 100
Dinamo Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Dinamo Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Riga let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Dinamo Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Beitar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar VS Dinamo Riga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar

(Home)
12 Nov
Rezekne
2 : 1
Beitar
04 Nov
Beitar
0 : 4
JFK Ventspils
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
22 Oct
Tukums 2000 2
2 : 1
Beitar
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Riga

(Away)
18 May
Dinamo Riga
1 : 3
Iecava
12 Nov
Riga FC 2
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
04 Nov
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
Rezekne
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
21 Oct
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)