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Beitar vs JFK Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lucins A.
50' Event
Kancs K.
57' Event
Kancs K.

AI Match Summary

JFK Ventspils in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored JFK Ventspils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Beitar
15%
Draws
34%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beitar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Beitar have won more games recently than JFK Ventspils.
  • Model gives Beitar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Beitar Clean Sheet 20%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.67 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 1. Liga
Beitar vs JFK Ventspils
0:4
Jul 22, 2023 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Beitar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Kancs K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar 85 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

JFK Ventspils has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

JFK Ventspils's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS JFK Ventspils
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar

(Home)
12 Nov
Rezekne
2 : 1
Beitar
04 Nov
Beitar
0 : 4
JFK Ventspils
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
22 Oct
Tukums 2000 2
2 : 1
Beitar
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
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JFK Ventspils

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)