Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Purnawarman Stadium, Purwakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Vieira A. J.
45'
Shimizu T.
46'
Sub
Mandosir E. In: Rumbino D.
Out: Mandosir E.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Bekasi City and PSMS Medan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bekasi City
20%
Draws
51%
PSMS Medan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bekasi City come out ahead of PSMS Medan on wins alone.
  • Model gives PSMS Medan a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bekasi City Clean Sheet 20%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bekasi City PSMS Medan
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Bekasi City
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bekasi City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bekasi City 28 / 100
PSMS Medan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bekasi City PSMS Medan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bekasi City scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bekasi City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bekasi City VS PSMS Medan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bekasi City

(Home)
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
18 Sept
Bekasi City
1 : 2
Persikad Depok
12 Sept
Persiku Kudus
1 : 1
Bekasi City
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
25 Apr
Persikad Depok
3 : 2
Bekasi City
Page 1 of 7

PSMS Medan

(Away)
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 PSMS Medan 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Semen Padang 3 2 1 0 4:1 6
4 PSPS Riau 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 PSIS Semarang 2 1 1 0 3:2 3
6 PSGC Ciamis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
7 Bekasi City 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
8 Sumsel United 3 0 1 2 3:6 0
9 Persiraja Aceh 3 0 0 3 2:5 -1
10 Persiku Kudus 2 0 1 1 1:7 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Persela Lamongan 3 3 0 0 9:0 8
3 Persis Solo 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 3 1 2 0 3:2 4
5 PS Barito Putera 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
6 RANS Nusantara 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
7 Dejan 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Persipura Jayapura 3 0 2 1 3:4 1
9 Balikpapan 3 0 0 3 2:5 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 3 0 0 3 0:18 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)