Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bela Vista FC vs Tupy FC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Saraiva L.
11' Event
Roniel

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista FC host Tupy FC in the Goiano 3 2024. This one's hard to separate. Tupy FC have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Bela Vista FC have conceded 2 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Bela Vista FC have won 0 to Tupy FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.94) back Tupy FC to edge this. Tupy FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bela Vista FC
39%
Draws
31%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupy FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bela Vista FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Goiano 3 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bela Vista FC Clean Sheet 10%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista FC Tupy FC
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Bela Vista FC
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Goiano 3
Bela Vista FC vs Tupy FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bela Vista FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saraiva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Roniel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista FC 29 / 100
Tupy FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista FC Tupy FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista FC scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Tupy FC let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bela Vista FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tupy FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista FC VS Tupy FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City2
Mineiros1
Rio Verde6
Uruacu2
Itumbiara3
Aparecida EC2
Bela Vista FC1
Tupy FC4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City0
Rio Verde6
Itumbiara1
Tupy FC5
Final
Rio Verde4
Tupy FC3