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Stadium Background

Bela Vista-TO vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO Logo

Bela Vista-TO

1 - 1
FT
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
45' Event
Diogo Tiburcio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bela Vista-TO
30%
Draws
29%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bela Vista-TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bela Vista-TO haven't matched Araguaina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Araguaina a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 23%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista-TO Araguaina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Araguaina
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Araguaina
1:4
Mar 5, 2024 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Bela Vista-TO
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Tiburcio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Araguaina Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
Araguaina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista-TO Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bela Vista-TO scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bela Vista-TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS Araguaina
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bela Vista-TO

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 6

Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)