Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bela Vista-TO play Capital FC in the Tocantinense 2025. Capital FC are favorites here. Recently, Bela Vista-TO averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Capital FC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Bela Vista-TO won 1, Capital FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Bela Vista-TO and 1.00 for Capital FC. This points to a Capital FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bela Vista-TO picked up more points recently compared to Capital FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bela Vista-TO | Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bela Vista-TO Compare
Capital FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bela Vista-TO scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Capital FC let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Bela Vista-TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Capital FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tocantinopolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Capital FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Araguaina | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Gurupi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Uniao Carmolandense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 6 | Bela Vista-TO | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 7 | Batalhao | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Tocantins | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:15 | 4 |