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Belarus U17 vs FC Slonim

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belarus U17 play FC Slonim in the Pershaya Liga 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belarus U17 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. FC Slonim averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Belarus U17 won 1, FC Slonim won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 16, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Belarus U17 and 1.31 for FC Slonim. This points to a Belarus U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Belarus U17
15%
Draws
41%
FC Slonim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belarus U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Belarus U17 picked up more points recently compared to FC Slonim.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Belarus U17 Clean Sheet 18%
FC Slonim Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U17 FC Slonim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Belarus U17 vs FC Slonim
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Belarus U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazmerchuk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Slonim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U17 43 / 100
FC Slonim 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U17 FC Slonim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belarus U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belarus U17 attacking → ← attacking FC Slonim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus U17 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FC Slonim let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Belarus U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Slonim lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 41
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Molodechno34237462:2676
2ML Vitebsk34234775:2773
3Niva Dolbizno34217673:3470
4Belshina34235684:4269
5Volna Pinsk342131070:4366
6FK Lida341571248:4052
7Din. Minsk 2341571254:3952
8BATE 2341471346:5449
9BumProm Gomel341391250:3748
10Orsha3411121146:5145
11Ostrovets341271544:5743
12Lokomotiv Gomel348111542:5035
13FK Baranovici34971830:6034
14Belarus U1734961931:5233
15Shakhtyor Soligorsk 234942133:6131
16FC Slonim34682026:6526
17Zhodino 234632534:9121
18SKA-1938 Minsk34781936:5519