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Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W

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Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belarus U19 W play Russia U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Russia U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Belarus U19 W averaged 0.92 goals scored and 2.94 conceded. Russia U19 W averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Belarus U19 W won 0, Russia U19 W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 30, 2025 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.70 for Belarus U19 W and 2.26 for Russia U19 W. This points to a Russia U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Belarus U19 W
25%
Draws
59%
Russia U19 W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Russia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Belarus U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Russia U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.70 vs 2.26 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Belarus U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U19 W Russia U19 W
Matches Played 36 23
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.92 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 0.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W
3:3
Jun 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W
2:4
Oct 25, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W
0:6
Oct 22, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W
0:4
Apr 12, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Belarus U19 W vs Russia U19 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Protasyuk D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katsynel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Russia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Achoyan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergeeva E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U19 W 16 / 100
Russia U19 W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U19 W Russia U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Russia U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belarus U19 W attacking → ← attacking Russia U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus U19 W scored in 50% of their last 36 games.

Russia U19 W let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Belarus U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Russia U19 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.40
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.40