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Belarus vs Kazakhstan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025 Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gromyko V.
31' Event
Bocherov V.
46'
Sub
Zuev A. In: Kenzhebek G.
Out: Zuev A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Belarus and Kazakhstan finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belarus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Belarus
35%
Draws
13%
Kazakhstan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belarus come out ahead of Kazakhstan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belarus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Belarus Clean Sheet 68%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus Kazakhstan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus vs Kazakhstan
4:1
Sep 22, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Belarus
2:1
Jun 10, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Kazakhstan
1:1
Oct 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Kazakhstan
2:0
Sep 7, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Belarus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus Compare

Top Goalscorer Gromyko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bocherov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzhebek G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus 95 / 100
Kazakhstan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus Kazakhstan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kazakhstan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Belarus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kazakhstan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belarus VS Kazakhstan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus

(Home)
06 Oct
Belarus
1 : 0
Finland
03 Oct
Belarus
4 : 0
San Marino
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
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Kazakhstan

(Away)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Kazakhstan
1 : 2
Moldova
29 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
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