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Belarus W vs Italy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Belarus W have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.69 conceded recently, against Italy W's 1.54 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.75, favoring Belarus W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Belarus W
30%
Draws
35%
Italy W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belarus W come out ahead of Italy W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Belarus W taking it.
  • Belarus W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Belarus W Clean Sheet 20%
Italy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus W Italy W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus W 42 / 100
Italy W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus W Italy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Italy W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Belarus W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belarus W VS Italy W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus W

(Home)
09 Jun
Belarus W
6 : 0
Armenia W
18 Apr
Belarus W
0 : 1
Kazakhstan W
14 Apr
Armenia W
0 : 3
Belarus W
07 Mar
Kazakhstan W
0 : 1
Belarus W
29 Nov
Greece W
2 : 0
Belarus W
Page 1 of 6

Italy W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -