Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belarus W vs Serbia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
Belarus W Logo

Belarus W

0 - 3
FT
Serbia W Logo

Serbia W

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Matejic N.
Assist: Cankovic J.
46'
Sub
Valyuk V. In: Shuppo A.
Out: Valyuk V.
58'
Sub
Petrovic E. In: Damnjanovic J.
Out: Petrovic E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Belarus W and Serbia W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serbia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Belarus W
15%
Draws
8%
Serbia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belarus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Belarus W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Belarus W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Belarus W Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus W Serbia W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belarus W vs Serbia W
0:3
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Serbia W vs Belarus W
0:0
Mar 10, 2020 Friendly International Women
Belarus W vs Serbia W
0:5
Jul 27, 2018 Friendly International Women
Belarus W vs Serbia W
1:1
Jul 30, 2017 Friendly International Women
Belarus W vs Serbia W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Serbia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matejic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus W 95 / 100
Serbia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus W Serbia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Belarus W scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Serbia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Belarus W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belarus W VS Serbia W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus W

(Home)
09 Jun
Belarus W
6 : 0
Armenia W
18 Apr
Belarus W
0 : 1
Kazakhstan W
14 Apr
Armenia W
0 : 3
Belarus W
07 Mar
Kazakhstan W
0 : 1
Belarus W
29 Nov
Greece W
2 : 0
Belarus W
Page 1 of 7

Serbia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)