Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasica Strumica vs Bregalnica Stip

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bregalnica Stip in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bregalnica Stip.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Belasica Strumica
35%
Draws
32%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bregalnica Stip lately — more wins on the board than Belasica Strumica.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bregalnica Stip here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 20 24
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.19 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Bregalnica Stip
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Belasica Strumica
0:1
May 6, 2025 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Belasica Strumica
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Bregalnica Stip
0:1
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Bregalnica Stip
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 31 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Belasica Strumica scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Bregalnica Stip conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Bregalnica Stip
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 8

Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)