Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasica Strumica vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Belasica Strumica and Prespa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belasica Strumica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Belasica Strumica
35%
Draws
19%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Belasica Strumica a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 68%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Prespa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 0
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 1.65 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Belasica Strumica
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Prespa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 95 / 100
Prespa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Belasica Strumica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Belasica Strumica found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Prespa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 7

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)