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Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Belasica Strumica and Septemvri Simitli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Belasica Strumica
35%
Draws
14%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Belasica Strumica a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Septemvri Simitli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:3
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 85 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Belasica Strumica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Belasica Strumica found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Septemvri Simitli
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
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