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Belasica Strumica vs Turnovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2017/2018 Stadion Blagoj Istatov
Sat, Nov 25, 2017
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belasica Strumica host Turnovo in the Division 1 2017/2018. Belasica Strumica are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Belasica Strumica at 1.5 goals for, 1.13 against; Turnovo at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Belasica Strumica have won 2 to Turnovo's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 25, 2017, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.06, favoring Belasica Strumica. Belasica Strumica in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Belasica Strumica
22%
Draws
18%
Turnovo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belasica Strumica come out ahead of Turnovo on wins alone.
  • Belasica Strumica are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 1 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Turnovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Turnovo
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2017 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Turnovo
0:0
Sep 26, 2017 2. MFL
Turnovo vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
Aug 21, 2013 Macedonian Cup
Belasica Strumica vs Turnovo
0:4
Apr 12, 2008 2. MFL
Turnovo vs Belasica Strumica
0:1
Oct 6, 2007 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Turnovo
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 58 / 100
Turnovo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Turnovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turnovo let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Attacking prowess: Belasica Strumica scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Belasica Strumica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belasica Strumica25185281:1159
2Borec25165443:1553
3Bregalnica Stip25158254:2053
4Kozuf Gevgelija25124934:3340
5Tikves251221145:4337
6Plackovica25931340:5030
7Kamenica Sasa25741432:4225
8Osogovo25541626:5319
9Pobeda Valandovo25251825:9510
10Turnovo91088:263
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Makedonija GP27175549:2356
2KF Gostivar27166548:2654
3Vellazerimi27165646:2753
4Struga27136844:3045
5FK Labunishta27119739:2542
6Teteks271231242:4239
7Gorno Lisice271051232:4635
8Lok. Skopje27681330:4126
9Zajazi27451824:6217
10Novaci27242123:559