Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasitsa Petrich vs Svoge

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Karaangelov P.
52'
Bua
58'
Ivanov K.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Belasitsa Petrich and Svoge finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belasitsa Petrich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Belasitsa Petrich
15%
Draws
49%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svoge come out ahead of Belasitsa Petrich on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasitsa Petrich Svoge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.54 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Svoge
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Svoge
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belasitsa Petrich Compare

Top Goalscorer Valkov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ergin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Svoge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasitsa Petrich 32 / 100
Svoge 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasitsa Petrich Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belasitsa Petrich scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Svoge has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Svoge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belasitsa Petrich VS Svoge
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasitsa Petrich

(Home)
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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Svoge

(Away)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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