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Belconnen United vs O'Connor Knights

Australia Australia

NPL ACT McKellar Park, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Paragalli D.
53' Event
Seunghoon N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Belconnen United
30%
Draws
58%
O'Connor Knights
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: O'Connor Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • O'Connor Knights haven't matched Belconnen United's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on O'Connor Knights taking it.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 18%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belconnen United O'Connor Knights
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.6 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs O'Connor Knights
1:1
May 2, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Belconnen United
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Belconnen United
3:1
Jul 23, 2022 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Belconnen United
1:0
May 21, 2022 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs O'Connor Knights
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belconnen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Paragalli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

O'Connor Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belconnen United 10 / 100
O'Connor Knights 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belconnen United O'Connor Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O'Connor Knights Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: O'Connor Knights conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Belconnen United found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Belconnen United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belconnen United VS O'Connor Knights
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belconnen United

(Home)
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Monaro Panthers
7 : 0
Belconnen United
01 Aug
Belconnen United
0 : 1
Tigers FC
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
Page 1 of 6

O'Connor Knights

(Away)
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
15 Aug
O'Connor Knights
3 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
01 Aug
Monaro Panthers
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)