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Belene vs Balkan Belogradchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2011/2012 game between Belene and Balkan Belogradchik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
15%
Draws
85%
Balkan Belogradchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Belogradchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Balkan Belogradchik haven't matched Belene's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Belene Clean Sheet 11%
Balkan Belogradchik Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Balkan Belogradchik
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 5 2
Draws 3 7
Losses 28 25
Goals Scored 0.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.97 3.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2013 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Balkan Belogradchik
1:1
Sep 1, 2012 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Belene
0:2
Apr 8, 2012 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Balkan Belogradchik
1:0
Sep 18, 2011 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Belene
1:1
May 12, 2011 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Balkan Belogradchik
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 35 / 100
Balkan Belogradchik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Balkan Belogradchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Belogradchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Belogradchik has conceded goals in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Balkan Belogradchik registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Belene scored in 36% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Belene VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 8

Balkan Belogradchik

(Away)
02 Jun
Sitomir
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
26 May
Balkan Belogradchik
3 : 5
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Tryavna
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
10 May
Balkan Belogradchik
0 : 1
Gorna
03 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
5 : 1
Balkan Belogradchik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Pleven 30 27 2 1 111:10 83
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 28 1 1 102:21 79
3 Parva Atomna 30 19 4 7 78:24 61
4 Akademik Svishtov 30 18 4 8 65:34 58
5 Dunav Selanovtsi 30 16 7 7 49:22 55
6 Torpedo Borovan 30 17 4 9 62:43 55
7 Belene 30 13 7 10 43:34 46
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 5 13 45:63 41
9 Gorna 30 10 7 13 34:31 37
10 Sitomir 30 11 3 16 42:80 36
11 Tryavna 30 7 8 15 33:60 29
12 Botev Krivodol 28 7 2 19 22:54 23
13 Yantra Gabrovo 29 7 2 20 20:60 23
14 Balkan Belogradchik 30 5 5 20 24:83 20
15 OFK Levski 30 5 2 23 29:85 17
16 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 29 2 5 22 13:68 11
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)