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Belene vs Gorna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Belene Logo

Belene

1 - 2
FT
Gorna Logo

Gorna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorna in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
30%
Draws
70%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorna lately — more wins on the board than Belene.
  • Win probability leans Gorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Belene Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Gorna
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.68 0.86
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Gorna
1:2
Sep 22, 2013 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Belene
6:0
Apr 28, 2013 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Gorna
1:3
Sep 30, 2012 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Belene
1:1
May 5, 2012 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Belene
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 10 / 100
Gorna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorna let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Belene scored in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gorna
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
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Gorna

(Away)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
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