Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belene vs Parva Atomna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belene in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
15%
Draws
85%
Parva Atomna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parva Atomna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Parva Atomna have won more games recently than Belene.
  • Parva Atomna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Belene Clean Sheet 20%
Parva Atomna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Parva Atomna
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 26 11
Goals Scored 0.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Parva Atomna
2:1
Sep 20, 2015 Third League - North-West
Parva Atomna vs Belene
1:0
May 11, 2014 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Parva Atomna
3:1
Nov 3, 2013 Third League - North-West
Parva Atomna vs Belene
3:1
Mar 24, 2013 Third League - North-West
Parva Atomna vs Belene
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 10 / 100
Parva Atomna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Parva Atomna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parva Atomna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parva Atomna let in goals in 65% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Parva Atomna has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Belene scored in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parva Atomna
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
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Parva Atomna

(Away)
30 May
Etar II
3 : 0
Parva Atomna
23 May
Parva Atomna
1 : 2
Sevlievo
19 May
Spartak Pleven
8 : 1
Parva Atomna
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Parva Atomna
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
Promotion - B PFG 2014/2015 (Main)