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Belene vs Sitomir

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Belene Logo

Belene

2 - 1
FT
Sitomir Logo

Sitomir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belene in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
15%
Draws
85%
Sitomir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sitomir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sitomir average 0.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Belene's 0.73.
  • Model gives Belene a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Belene Clean Sheet 11%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Sitomir
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 26 26
Goals Scored 0.73 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2014 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Sitomir
2:1
Aug 18, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Belene
0:0
May 19, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Belene
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Sitomir
3:0
May 27, 2012 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Sitomir
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 35 / 100
Sitomir 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Sitomir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sitomir has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Sitomir's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Belene's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belene VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
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Sitomir

(Away)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
Promotion - B PFG 2014/2015 (Main)