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Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense U20 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Belenense U20
20%
Draws
7%
Fonte Nova U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Fonte Nova U20 haven't matched Belenense U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Belenense U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Belenense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belenense U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belenense U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belenense U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Fonte Nova U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense U20 Fonte Nova U20
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 3.41 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Paraense U20
Fonte Nova U20 vs Belenense U20
0:2
Dec 20, 2024 Paraense U20
Fonte Nova U20 vs Belenense U20
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Paraense U20
Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Paraense U20
Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense U20 84 / 100
Fonte Nova U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense U20 Fonte Nova U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense U20 scored in 94% of their last 17 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Fonte Nova U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Solid form: Belenense U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belenense U20 VS Fonte Nova U20
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Tuna Luso U20
3 : 2
Belenense U20
06 Sept
Craques do Futuro U20
0 : 10
Belenense U20
01 Sept
Belenense U20
6 : 1
Trabalhista U20
26 Aug
Cruzeirao U20
0 : 7
Belenense U20
22 Aug
Belenense U20
3 : 3
Sport Belem U20
Page 1 of 4

Fonte Nova U20

(Away)
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
2 : 2
Fonte Nova U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
6 : 0
Fonte Nova U20
03 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
1 : 2
Maracana Taua U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Tuna Luso U20 4
Juventude Barcarenense U20 0
Remo U20 3
Sport Belem U20 1
Fonte Nova U20 2
Belenense U20 4
Paysandu PA U20 7
CRT-23 Benevides U20 5
Castanhal U20 4
Real Naval U20 3
Aguia De Maraba U20 10
EC Tailandia U20 2