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Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 2024
Belenense U20 Logo

Belenense U20

6 - 0
FT
Fonte Nova U20 Logo

Fonte Nova U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belenense U20 in this Paraense U20 2024 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Belenense U20
20%
Draws
7%
Fonte Nova U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belenense U20 lately — more wins on the board than Fonte Nova U20.
  • Belenense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Belenense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belenense U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Belenense U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belenense U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Fonte Nova U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense U20 Fonte Nova U20
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 3.41 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Paraense U20
Fonte Nova U20 vs Belenense U20
0:2
Dec 20, 2024 Paraense U20
Fonte Nova U20 vs Belenense U20
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Paraense U20
Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Paraense U20
Belenense U20 vs Fonte Nova U20
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense U20 84 / 100
Fonte Nova U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense U20 Fonte Nova U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense U20 scored in 94% of their last 17 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Fonte Nova U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

Belenense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belenense U20 VS Fonte Nova U20
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Tuna Luso U20
3 : 2
Belenense U20
06 Sept
Craques do Futuro U20
0 : 10
Belenense U20
01 Sept
Belenense U20
6 : 1
Trabalhista U20
26 Aug
Cruzeirao U20
0 : 7
Belenense U20
22 Aug
Belenense U20
3 : 3
Sport Belem U20
Page 1 of 4

Fonte Nova U20

(Away)
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
2 : 2
Fonte Nova U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
6 : 0
Fonte Nova U20
03 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
1 : 2
Maracana Taua U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Castanhal U20 -
TBD -
Belenense U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 7
Aguia De Maraba U20 -
TBD -
Tuna Luso U20 2
Remo U20 1
Semi-finals
Castanhal U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 4
Aguia De Maraba U20 4
Tuna Luso U20 3
Final
Paysandu PA U20 3
Aguia De Maraba U20 2