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Belenense vs Fonte Nova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B2 2024
Belenense Logo

Belenense

0 - 2
FT
Fonte Nova Logo

Fonte Nova

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense B2 2024 game between Belenense and Fonte Nova finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fonte Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Belenense
35%
Draws
15%
Fonte Nova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Belenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Belenense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Belenense Clean Sheet 20%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense Fonte Nova
Matches Played 17 11
Wins 9 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.82 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2024 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Fonte Nova
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense 85 / 100
Fonte Nova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense Fonte Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belenense scored in 71% of their last 17 outings.

Fonte Nova let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Belenense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belenense VS Fonte Nova
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
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Fonte Nova

(Away)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Fonte Nova 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Belenense 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Paraense B2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
2 Tesla 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Tiradentes PA 3 1 1 1 6:9 4
4 Gaviao 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B2 2024 (Play Offs)