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Belenense vs Pedreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Belenense Logo

Belenense

1 - 0
FT
Pedreira Logo

Pedreira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Belenense and Pedreira finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Belenense
15%
Draws
40%
Pedreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pedreira come out ahead of Belenense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belenense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Belenense Clean Sheet 10%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenense Pedreira
Matches Played 17 16
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.82 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Paraense A3
Pedreira vs Belenense
2:3
Oct 1, 2025 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Pedreira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense 34 / 100
Pedreira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenense Pedreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Pedreira let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Belenense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belenense VS Pedreira
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenense

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 4

Pedreira

(Away)
03 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 1
Tesla
27 Sept
Tesla
4 : 1
Pedreira
23 Sept
ESMAC
0 : 5
Pedreira
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)