Sport Picks
Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Viegas T.
62'
62'
Correia G.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Belenenses U19 and Tondela U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tondela U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Belenenses U19 have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — Tondela U19 are scoring more at 0.73.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Tondela U19 taking it.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belenenses U19 | Tondela U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belenenses U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Tondela U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Viegas T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belenenses U19 10 / 100
Tondela U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belenenses U19 Tondela U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belenenses U19 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Tondela U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Tondela U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Belenenses U19 VS Tondela U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Belenenses U19
(Home) 25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
04 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 3 Academico Viseu U19
21 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
3 : 0 Belenenses U19
14 Mar
Torreense U19
4 : 1 Belenenses U19
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
04 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 3 Academico Viseu U19
07 Mar
Belenenses U19
0 : 0 Mafra U19
21 Feb
Belenenses U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
31 Jan
Belenenses U19
1 : 2 Torreense U19
Page 1 of 3
Tondela U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
21 Feb
Belenenses U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
24 Jan
Academico Viseu U19
2 : 1 Tondela U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
