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Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Viegas T.
62'
Correia G.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Belenenses U19 and Tondela U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tondela U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belenenses U19
6%
Draws
90%
Tondela U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tondela U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belenenses U19 have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Tondela U19 are scoring more at 1.13.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tondela U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenenses U19 Tondela U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Tondela U19
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Belenenses U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belenenses U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tondela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Viegas T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenenses U19 10 / 100
Tondela U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenenses U19 Tondela U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenenses U19 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tondela U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tondela U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belenenses U19 VS Tondela U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815