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Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Beleza W have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's 1.69 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Beleza W have won 1 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Beleza W
15%
Draws
42%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beleza W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 21
Draws 0 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.81 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Beleza W
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Beleza W
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beleza W 36 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beleza W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Beleza W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Beleza W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beleza W VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beleza W

(Home)
03 Oct
Urawa W
4 : 2
Beleza W
27 Sept
C-Osaka W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
27 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
23 Sept
C-Osaka W
3 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 5 4 0 1 10:7 11
2 Nojima Stella W 5 3 0 2 8:5 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
8 Mynavi Sendai W 5 2 0 3 4:6 8
9 Urawa W 5 2 0 3 10:9 7
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)