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Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Soto R.
83' Event
Lekinho
90' Event
Dongo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Belford Roxo and Goytacaz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belford Roxo
6%
Draws
90%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Goytacaz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 17%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo Goytacaz
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belford Roxo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lekinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 10 / 100
Goytacaz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo Goytacaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goytacaz conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Belford Roxo scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Belford Roxo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS Goytacaz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz RJ2
Macae4
Belford Roxo1
Goytacaz2
Final
Macae2
Goytacaz5