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Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Soto R.
83' Event
Lekinho
90' Event
Dongo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Goytacaz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Belford Roxo
35%
Draws
35%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Belford Roxo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Goytacaz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Goytacaz, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 15%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo Goytacaz
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belford Roxo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lekinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 35 / 100
Goytacaz 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo Goytacaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belford Roxo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Goytacaz conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Belford Roxo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS Goytacaz
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belford Roxo

(Home)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

Goytacaz

(Away)
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz RJ 2
Macae 4
Belford Roxo 1
Goytacaz 2
Final
Macae 2
Goytacaz 5