Sport Picks
Belford Roxo vs Serra Macaense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca B2 
AI Match Summary
Belford Roxo host Serra Macaense in the Carioca B2. This one's hard to separate. Serra Macaense have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Belford Roxo have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.44. Past meetings favor Belford Roxo slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.81, favoring Serra Macaense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra Macaense have won more games recently than Belford Roxo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belford Roxo | Serra Macaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belford Roxo scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Serra Macaense let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Belford Roxo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Belford Roxo
(Home)Serra Macaense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Belford Roxo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paduano EC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 7 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Buzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4:21 | 0 |
